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What will be identified as the primary cause of the Seliger City explosion by the end of 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Gas cylinder explosion • 25%
Electrical fault • 25%
Intentional act (e.g., arson, terrorism) • 25%
Other • 25%
Official investigation reports or media coverage
Story
Explosions and Fire Erupt in Elite Moscow Residential Complex, Causing Casualties
Sep 30, 2024, 02:29 AM
A large-scale explosion and fire occurred at the elite Seliger City Residential Complex in Moscow. The explosions, reportedly caused by gas cylinders stored in one of the apartments, led to a massive fire. Russian media reported one dead and two injured. One of the residents jumped out of the window. The residential complex is located 13km north of the Kremlin.
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Human Error • 25%
Technical Failure • 25%
Deliberate Sabotage • 25%
Natural Causes • 25%
Accidental (e.g., gas leak) • 25%
Intentional (e.g., sabotage) • 25%
Natural cause (e.g., earthquake) • 25%
Unknown/Other • 25%
Gas leak • 25%
Electrical fault • 25%
Arson • 25%
Other • 25%
Gas Cylinder Malfunction • 25%
Human Error • 25%
Sabotage • 25%
Other • 25%
Heat-related maneuver • 25%
Mechanical failure • 25%
Human error • 25%
Other • 25%
Drone strike • 25%
Accidental fire • 25%
Sabotage/Arson • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Safety violations confirmed • 25%
Mechanical failure • 25%
External sabotage • 25%
Other causes • 25%
Technical malfunction • 25%
Human error • 25%
External sabotage • 25%
Other • 25%
Russian involvement • 25%
Accidental detonation • 25%
Sabotage by internal personnel • 25%
Unknown cause • 25%
Equipment failure • 25%
Human error • 25%
Sabotage or terrorism • 25%
Other • 25%
Technical failure • 25%
Human error • 25%
Sabotage • 25%
Other • 25%