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Will there be another significant disruption on the Trans-Siberian Railway in the Kemerovo region by the end of 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
News reports or official statements from Russian Railways
Story
Fire and Explosion Disrupts Trans-Siberian Railway in Mariinsk
Aug 19, 2024, 05:55 AM
A fire and explosion occurred at a traction substation on the Trans-Siberian Railway near Mariinsk in Russia's Kemerovo region. The incident, which took place on August 19, caused power outages in the town of Mariinsk and disrupted train traffic on the Krasnoyarsk Railway for two hours. The fire was extinguished by a fire train, and the transport prosecutor’s office is investigating the cause of the explosion.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Drone attack • 25%
Technical failure • 25%
Labor strike • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased security measures • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Temporary measures only • 25%
Unknown/Unreported • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Truck driver fault • 25%
Mechanical failure • 25%
Track defect • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Confirmed as terrorist attack • 25%
Accidental explosion • 25%
Sabotage by internal actors • 25%
Inconclusive/No determination • 25%
