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What will be Hezbollah's military position relative to the Litani River by mid-2024?
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Lebanon•Iran•Hezbollah•Israel•Iranian•Ayatollah Ali Khamenei•Litani River•Resolution•NYT•Khamenei•Ali Larijani
Resolution / Starting Odds
North of Litani • 25%
South of Litani • 25%
At Litani • 25%
No presence • 25%
Reports from United Nations, military analysts, or major news agencies
Story
Iran Urges Hezbollah to Accept Ceasefire with Israel, Withdraw North of Litani River
Nov 18, 2024, 05:14 AM
On Friday, Lebanon’s caretaker prime minister urged Iran to convince Hezbollah to agree to a ceasefire deal with Israel. Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei has reportedly instructed Hezbollah to accept a ceasefire agreement that includes a withdrawal north of the Litani River, in line with Resolution 1701. This move, reported by the NYT, comes amid heightened military pressure from Israel and significant losses for Hezbollah. Khamenei's directive was communicated through his adviser, Ali Larijani, who assured continued support for Hezbollah's recovery.
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Increased aggression • 25%
Decreased aggression • 25%
No change in posture • 25%
Hezbollah calls for peace talks • 25%
Significantly Weakened • 25%
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Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Unchanged or increased • 33%
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Fully withdrawn beyond Litani River • 25%
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