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Hezbollah's presence status in southern Lebanon by Apr 30, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Fully withdrawn beyond Litani River • 25%
Partially withdrawn • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased presence • 25%
Reports from international observers or credible news agencies
Story
Israeli Defense Minister Katz Warns Hezbollah: 'We Will Crush Its Head' If Ceasefire Violated Near Litani River
Dec 22, 2024, 11:09 AM
Israeli Defense Minister Yoav Katz issued a stern warning to Hezbollah during a visit to an IDF outpost in southern Lebanon. He stated that if Hezbollah does not withdraw beyond the Litani River and attempts to violate the ceasefire, Israel will take decisive action, threatening to 'crush its head.' Katz emphasized that Israel would not allow Hezbollah fighters to return to southern Lebanese villages or reestablish terrorist infrastructure that could threaten Israeli communities in the north. His comments reflect ongoing tensions in the region and underline Israel's commitment to maintaining security along its borders.
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Significantly weakened • 25%
Moderately weakened • 25%
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Strengthened • 25%
UNIFIL • 25%
Lebanese Armed Forces • 25%
Hezbollah • 25%
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Unchanged or increased • 33%
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