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Who will be identified as the primary actor responsible for the 2022 Nord Stream sabotage by end of 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Ukraine • 25%
Russia • 25%
Poland • 25%
Other • 25%
Official statements from involved governments or international investigative bodies
Story
Poland's Donald Tusk Denies Involvement in Nord Stream Sabotage Amid New Speculation
Aug 17, 2024, 06:02 PM
Poland has officially denied any involvement in the 2022 Nord Stream pipeline sabotage, amid renewed speculation about the incident. Reports have emerged suggesting that the highest levels of the Ukrainian government may have approved the operation, although these claims remain unverified. A Ukrainian citizen suspected of involvement had fled Poland. Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk has called for an end to speculation regarding the perpetrators of the attack, emphasizing that Poland was not involved. A top aide to the Polish president reiterated that allegations implicating Poland in the sabotage are baseless.
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Russia • 25%
Ukraine • 25%
United States • 25%
Other • 25%
Russia • 25%
Ukraine • 25%
Another state actor • 25%
Non-state actors • 25%
Ukraine • 25%
Russia • 25%
Other • 25%
No Official Blame • 25%
Private Businessmen • 25%
Ukrainian Government • 25%
Foreign Entity • 25%
Unknown • 25%
Russia • 25%
United States • 25%
Another country • 25%
Non-state actor • 25%
Ukraine • 25%
Russia • 25%
Other • 25%
No official blame • 25%
Russia • 25%
Ukraine • 25%
United States • 25%
Other • 25%
Ukraine confirmed responsible • 25%
Russia confirmed responsible • 25%
Another entity confirmed responsible • 25%
No conclusive evidence found • 25%
Ukraine confirmed responsible • 25%
Russia confirmed responsible • 25%
Another country confirmed responsible • 25%
No conclusive evidence found • 25%
Russia • 25%
Non-state actors • 25%
Another country • 25%
Unknown • 25%
Ukraine found solely responsible • 25%
Ukraine and other entities found responsible • 25%
Other entities found solely responsible • 25%
No conclusive outcome • 25%
