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What will be Denmark's response to U.S. interest in Greenland by the end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased diplomatic engagement • 25%
Military cooperation • 25%
Economic agreements • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Official announcements from the Danish government
Story
U.S. Confirms No Military Increase in Greenland Before Trump's Jan. 20 Inauguration
Jan 9, 2025, 11:49 AM
The United States has no current plans to increase its military presence in Greenland, according to the U.S. Embassy in Copenhagen. This statement follows President-elect Donald Trump's renewed interest in acquiring the Arctic island, which he described as an 'absolute necessity' for U.S. control ahead of his Jan. 20 inauguration. Trump's comments sparked concern and surprise in Greenland, home to 57,000 people, and Copenhagen, with no ruling out of military or economic actions against Denmark to achieve this goal. The Pentagon also confirmed it has no plans to take Greenland by force, emphasizing ongoing national security concerns elsewhere. Greenland is crucial for the U.S. military, particularly for its ballistic missile early-warning system, with a permanent presence at the Pituffik air base. Denmark has expressed openness to dialogue with the U.S. to safeguard its Arctic interests amid increasing great power rivalry in the region, driven by melting ice and new sea lanes.
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Denmark agrees to negotiate • 25%
Denmark rejects negotiations • 25%
Denmark remains neutral • 25%
Denmark escalates to EU • 25%
Reject U.S. interest outright • 25%
Increase defense spending • 25%
Open negotiations with U.S. • 25%
Other • 25%
Firm rejection • 25%
Open to negotiations • 25%
Other response • 25%
No official response • 25%
Firm rejection • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Encourages Greenlandic decision • 25%
Open to negotiations • 25%
No response • 25%
Negotiate • 25%
Reject • 25%
Accept • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
U.S. purchases Greenland • 25%
Greenland gains more autonomy • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Denmark rejects proposal • 25%
US acquires Greenland • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Denmark retains control without negotiations • 25%
Negotiations continue without resolution • 25%
Oppose U.S. Offer • 25%
No Official Statement • 25%
Remain Neutral • 25%
Support U.S. Offer • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Opposition from major allies • 25%
No official response • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Support from major allies • 25%
No response • 25%
Increased cooperation without sale • 25%
Negotiation for sale • 25%
Rejection of sale • 25%