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What strategic alliances will Pakistan form by the end of 2025 in response to deteriorating ties?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Alliance with China • 25%
Alliance with Russia • 25%
Alliance with Middle Eastern countries • 25%
No new alliances • 25%
Official announcements from Pakistani government or credible international relations reports
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Pakistan Seeks Nuclear Second-Strike Capability from China for Gwadar Base Amid Deteriorating Ties
Dec 13, 2024, 03:35 AM
In recent developments, the Pakistani military has reportedly engaged in secret negotiations with China, seeking nuclear second-strike capability. In exchange, Pakistan is considering allowing China to establish a military base at the strategically significant Gwadar port. This request highlights the deteriorating ties between the two nations, which have historically been allies. The situation underscores the complex geopolitical dynamics at play as major global powers, including the United States, Russia, and China, navigate security dilemmas and arms control challenges. Analysts suggest that the modernization of China's nuclear arsenal and Russia's potential resumption of nuclear testing contribute to a heightened global security dilemma, raising concerns about a new arms race.
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Improved relations • 25%
Deteriorating relations • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Strategic partnership formed • 25%
Strengthened relations • 25%
Tensions increase • 25%
Relations remain unchanged • 25%
Other • 25%
New alliances with Kurdish groups • 25%
Alliances with other regional powers • 25%
Maintain current alliances • 25%
Other • 25%
UN sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Military deterrence measures • 25%
Withdrawal from NATO • 25%
Strengthened NATO ties • 25%
New military alliances • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Strengthened alliances • 25%
Weakened alliances • 25%
No significant change • 25%
New alliances formed • 25%
Expel Afghan diplomats • 25%
Issue a public apology • 25%
Recall Pakistani diplomats from Afghanistan • 25%
Other • 25%
China deploys its own security personnel • 25%
Pakistan increases its security measures • 25%
Joint security task force established • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Closer ties with Russia • 25%
New alliance with China • 25%
Improved relations with South Korea • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Formation of a new military alliance • 25%
Increased US presence in Asia • 25%
Strengthened ties between China and North Korea • 25%
No significant change in alliances • 25%
Condemnation of Pakistan • 25%
Support for Pakistan • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
No significant response • 25%
New alliance forms • 25%
Current alliances strengthen • 25%
Alliances weaken significantly • 25%
No significant change • 25%