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What retaliatory actions will Poland take against Russia by May 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Closure of more consulates • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
No actions taken • 25%
Official announcements from the Polish Foreign Ministry or credible news sources
Story
Russia to Close Polish Consulate in St. Petersburg on January 10; Expels Diplomats Amid Espionage Row
Dec 5, 2024, 03:12 PM
On December 5, Russia announced the closure of Poland's Consulate General in St. Petersburg in response to Poland's decision to shut down the Russian consulate in Poznan. The Russian Foreign Ministry stated that the Polish consulate would cease operations starting January 10, 2025. The closure is linked to espionage accusations. Additionally, Russia declared three diplomats from the Polish consulate in St. Petersburg as personae non gratae, requiring them to leave the country. This move escalates the diplomatic tensions between the two countries. In retaliation, Poland's Foreign Minister Sikorski threatened to close all remaining Russian consular offices in Poland if "sabotage and terrorist acts continue."
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Missile attack on Kyiv • 25%
Increased cyber attacks • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Cyber Attack • 25%
Military Strike • 25%
Diplomatic Measures • 25%
Economic Sanctions • 25%
Increased ground military operations • 25%
Missile strikes on Ukrainian cities • 25%
Cyber attacks on Ukrainian infrastructure • 25%
Diplomatic or economic sanctions • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Military support to Ukraine • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation • 25%
Increased sanctions on Russia • 25%
Diplomatic measures • 25%
No retaliation • 25%
Cyber attack • 25%
Military strike • 25%
Cyberattacks • 25%
Military action • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic measures • 25%
Other forms of retaliation • 25%
Cyberattacks on Ukrainian infrastructure • 25%
Increased airstrikes on Ukrainian cities • 25%
Deployment of additional ground troops • 25%
Military strike • 25%
No retaliation • 25%
Diplomatic measures • 25%
Cyber attack • 25%
Diplomatic actions • 25%
Military escalation • 25%
Cyber attacks • 25%
Economic measures • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Mediation attempts • 25%
Sanctions on Russia • 25%
Increased Sanctions • 25%
Military Support to Ukraine • 25%
Diplomatic Measures • 25%
No Major Action • 25%
Military retaliation • 25%
Cyber retaliation • 25%
No retaliation • 25%
Diplomatic measures • 25%