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What political role will Nikki Haley take on by the end of 2024?
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Re-enters Presidential race • 25%
Accepts a cabinet or significant administrative position • 25%
Runs for a different significant political office • 25%
Remains out of the race and holds no new office • 25%
Official announcements from Nikki Haley or major political news outlets.
Story
Trump Wins Indiana GOP Primary, Secures 52 Delegates; Haley Garners 21.7% Despite Withdrawal
May 8, 2024, 12:03 PM
Former President Donald Trump won the Indiana GOP presidential primary with a significant lead, securing 78.3% of the votes with 70% of precincts reporting, amounting to 375,000 votes. His closest competitor, Nikki Haley, who had withdrawn from the race over two months ago, still managed to garner 21.7% of the vote, which translates to 103,000 votes. Despite her withdrawal, Haley's unexpected vote count indicates a notable level of dissent within the party. Additionally, Trump secured 52 of the 58 available delegates in Indiana.
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Similar markets
Presidential candidate • 25%
Vice Presidential candidate • 25%
Cabinet member • 25%
No official role • 25%
Presidential Cabinet position • 30%
GOP senior leadership • 30%
Runs for office in 2026 • 20%
No major political role • 20%
Significant increase in party role • 25%
Nominal change in party role • 25%
Reduced role within the party • 25%
Exit from active politics • 25%
Vice Presidential Candidate • 25%
Senior Advisor • 25%
Campaign Manager • 25%
No official position • 25%
Political commentator • 25%
Non-profit leader • 25%
Corporate board member • 25%
None of the above • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%