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What percentage of Israelis will support the hostage release deal by December 31, 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Less than 50% • 25%
50% to 60% • 25%
60% to 70% • 25%
More than 70% • 25%
Surveys and polls conducted by the Israel Democracy Institute and other reputable polling organizations
Story
Israel and Hamas Agree to Hostage Release and Interim Governance Plan for Gaza; 56% of Israelis Support Deal
Jul 10, 2024, 11:23 PM
Israel has achieved a significant breakthrough in its conflict with Hamas, leading to the first hostage release deal. Under relentless Israeli military pressure and heavy battlefield losses, Hamas has reportedly given up on the demand that Israel leaves the Gaza Strip as part of the deal to release the hostages held for nine months. Reports indicate that 56% of Israelis support a deal to release all hostages and end the war in Gaza, according to data from the Israel Democracy Institute. Additionally, a senior U.S. official confirmed that both Israel and Hamas have signaled their acceptance of an 'interim governance' plan for Gaza, which would see neither side ruling the territory. Security in Gaza would be provided by a force trained by the United States and backed by moderate Arab states, as reported by the Washington Post.
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Similar markets
0-9 • 25%
10-19 • 25%
20-29 • 25%
30 or more • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Less than 20 • 25%
20 to 50 • 25%
51 to 100 • 25%
More than 100 • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Hostage deal reached with six-week withdrawal • 25%
Hostage deal reached without withdrawal • 25%
No deal reached • 25%
Other • 25%
