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What new AI products/services will Microsoft launch by end of 2025 post AGI clause removal?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
New AI-based software applications • 25%
New AI-based hardware products • 25%
Enhancements to existing Microsoft products • 25%
No new AI products or services • 25%
Official product announcements from Microsoft or credible tech news outlets
Story
OpenAI Seeks to Unlock Funding by Ditching AGI Clause with Microsoft
Dec 6, 2024, 12:21 PM
OpenAI is reportedly in discussions to remove a clause in its agreement with Microsoft that limits Microsoft's access to OpenAI's most advanced AI models upon achieving Artificial General Intelligence (AGI). This move is aimed at unlocking further investment from Microsoft, according to the Financial Times. The clause in question would allow OpenAI's board to determine when AGI is achieved, potentially restricting Microsoft's access to these models. The removal of this 'AGI clause' could facilitate a more open partnership, enabling Microsoft to leverage OpenAI's cutting-edge AI technology for its own products and services.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
New AI products launched • 25%
Improvement in existing AI products • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
10-15 • 25%
16-20 • 25%
21-25 • 25%
More than 25 • 25%
Clause removed • 25%
Clause modified • 25%
Clause retained • 25%
No decision announced • 25%
Google • 25%
Microsoft • 25%
Amazon • 25%
Meta • 25%
No issues found • 25%
Minor adjustments required • 25%
Major changes mandated • 25%
Partnership dissolved • 25%
With Microsoft • 25%
With another tech company • 25%
With a non-tech entity • 25%
No major partnership announced • 25%
Consumer device • 25%
Enterprise software • 25%
AI development tool • 25%
Other • 25%
