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What level of chip technology will Chinese manufacturers predominantly produce by the end of 2024?
2
ASML•Dutch•Netherlands•China•Christophe Fouquet•Chinese•Deep Ultraviolet•Chinese Commerce Ministry•US
Resolution / Starting Odds
7nm • 25%
5nm • 25%
3nm • 25%
Other • 25%
Reports from major Chinese semiconductor companies
Story
ASML Faces Dutch Export Curbs on Chipmaking Tools, China Dissatisfied
Sep 8, 2024, 05:16 AM
ASML, a leading Dutch semiconductor equipment manufacturer, is facing new export restrictions imposed by the Netherlands on its chipmaking tools. The restrictions have sparked dissatisfaction from China, which has voiced strong objections to the move. ASML's CEO Christophe Fouquet mentioned that despite the curbs, Chinese chipmakers will still be able to produce chips at 7nm, 5nm, and 3nm technology levels using Deep Ultraviolet (DUV) tools. The Chinese Commerce Ministry has criticized the Netherlands' decision, attributing it to US pressure aimed at maintaining global hegemony.
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Significant advancement • 25%
Moderate advancement • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%
8nm or below • 25%
Between 8nm and 12nm • 25%
Between 12nm and 20nm • 25%
Above 20nm • 25%
Consumer Electronics • 25%
Automotive • 25%
Industrial • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased domestic production • 25%
Shift to non-US suppliers • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Other strategic responses • 25%
Develop domestic alternatives • 25%
Increase imports from other countries • 25%
Retaliatory trade measures • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Huawei >50% • 25%
Nvidia >50% • 25%
Huawei and Nvidia both <50% • 25%
Other • 25%
Above 50% • 25%
30% to 50% • 25%
10% to 30% • 25%
Below 10% • 25%
Huawei • 25%
Alibaba • 25%
Tencent • 25%
Other • 25%
Semiconductor Manufacturing • 25%
AI and Software Development • 25%
Telecommunications • 25%
Renewable Energy • 25%
