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What legal mechanism will Trump first use to attempt ending birthright citizenship by March 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Executive Order • 33%
Legislation • 33%
Constitutional Amendment • 33%
Official announcements from White House or legal filings
Story
Trump Plans to End Birthright Citizenship, Facing Legal Challenges, as Part of Immigration Reform Starting January 20, 2025
Dec 19, 2024, 11:23 AM
Donald Trump has announced plans to end birthright citizenship as part of his immigration reform agenda, set to take effect when he assumes the presidency on January 20, 2025. Legal experts, including Tom Homan, have expressed skepticism regarding the constitutional basis for birthright citizenship. The concept is rooted in the 14th Amendment, which grants citizenship to all individuals born on U.S. soil. Trump's proposal has raised questions about the legal mechanisms required to eliminate this right, which would likely necessitate an amendment, new legislation, or an executive order. However, experts warn that such efforts are likely to face significant legal challenges and may ultimately fail.
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Legislation • 25%
Executive Order • 25%
Constitutional Amendment • 25%
No Attempt • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Policy Implemented • 25%
Blocked by Courts • 25%
Blocked by Congress • 25%
Policy Withdrawn • 25%
Order overturned by Congress • 25%
Order not issued • 25%
Order blocked by courts • 25%
Order implemented • 25%
Blocked by courts • 25%
Overturned by Congress • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Implemented without legal challenge • 25%
