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What form will major escalations in the Hezbollah-Israel conflict take by the end of 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Airstrikes • 25%
Ground invasion • 25%
Naval blockade • 25%
Other • 25%
Verified news reports from reputable sources like Reuters, BBC, or Al Jazeera
Story
Iran-backed Hezbollah Leader Nasrallah: Conflict with Israel Enters New Phase of Military Action
Aug 1, 2024, 02:04 PM
Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah announced that the group's battle with Israel has entered a new phase. Nasrallah emphasized that the escalation in the conflict is due to Israel's recent actions, including the assassination of a top Hezbollah commander. He stated that Hezbollah, which is Iran-backed, is now engaged in an open war on all fronts and vowed to respond to the killing. The conflict has seen near-daily skirmishes since October 7, and Nasrallah warned that the enemy must brace for revenge. The group has entered a new phase of military action against Israel.
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Increased aerial bombardments • 25%
Ground offensive • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
Hezbollah strikes Tel Aviv • 25%
Israel conducts more airstrikes on Beirut • 25%
Both occur • 25%
Neither occurs • 25%
Full-scale conflict • 25%
Limited skirmishes • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
No significant escalation • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Continued skirmishes • 25%
Full-scale war • 25%
Diplomatic resolution without military action • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Ongoing conflict with sporadic attacks • 25%
Full-scale war • 25%
Diplomatic resolution without ceasefire • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Continued conflict • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Hezbollah retreats • 25%
Israel retreats • 25%