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What decision will the Iranian leader make regarding the attack on Israel by August 31, 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Approve Attack • 25%
Postpone Decision • 25%
Cancel Attack • 25%
Seek Diplomatic Resolution • 25%
Verified news reports from credible sources such as Reuters, BBC, or Al Jazeera
Story
Iran Prepares for Possible Attack on Israel Amid Tensions
Aug 12, 2024, 07:27 AM
Senior Israeli officials have confirmed that Iran is preparing to launch an attack on Israel in response to the assassination of Haniyeh. Israeli Defense Minister Galant has informed U.S. Secretary of Defense Austin about Iran's military preparations, which suggest an imminent attack. While the Iranian Revolutionary Guard is pushing for a large-scale attack, the Iranian president is reportedly seeking to avoid a severe response. Israeli Army Radio reports that Iran is close to making a decision to launch a direct attack from its territory, although the final decision rests with the Iranian leader. If carried out, the attack is expected to be limited and not lead to a large-scale regional war.
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No attack occurs • 25%
Minor skirmish • 25%
Significant military engagement • 25%
Full-scale war • 25%
Significant damage and casualties • 25%
Minimal damage and casualties • 25%
Attack intercepted • 25%
No attack occurs • 25%
Increased conflict • 25%
De-escalation • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Other • 25%
Military action against Israel • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations with the US • 25%
Continued postponement without action • 25%
Other significant actions • 25%
Military Strike • 25%
Legal Action • 25%
Economic Sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic Measures • 25%
Missile Strike • 25%
Drone Attack • 25%
Cyber Attack • 25%
Other • 25%
Military action • 25%
Cyber attack • 25%
Diplomatic measures • 25%
Other • 25%
Diplomatic measures • 25%
Military retaliation • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
No further action • 25%