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What changes will occur in North Korea's military posture following the deployment of Hwasong-11D by end of 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased missile tests • 25%
Increased military drills • 25%
De-escalation • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Verified reports from major news agencies or government statements
Story
North Korea Deploys 250 Nuclear-Capable Hwasong-11D Missile Launchers to Border
Aug 5, 2024, 04:45 AM
North Korean leader Kim Jong Un has overseen the delivery of 250 new tactical ballistic missile launchers to the country's troops, state media KCNA reported. The deployment ceremony, which took place with Kim's participation, saw the missile systems handed over to frontline units stationed along the South Korean border. These launchers, identified as Hwasong-11D, are capable of launching short-range ballistic missiles with a range of over 200 km and are designed to carry 4.5-ton warheads. Kim emphasized that this move is part of North Korea's strategy to enhance its nuclear readiness and respond to any challenges. The new nuclear-capable missile systems are also seen as a significant boost to North Korea's military capabilities, potentially targeting South Korean and US bases in the region. State media described the launchers as a modern weapon designed to strengthen the nation's defense.
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Increased collaboration with Russia • 25%
Focus on internal security • 25%
Expansion of SOF activities • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased training • 25%
Change in deployment strategy • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Unknown strategy • 25%
Significant improvement • 25%
Moderate improvement • 25%
No improvement • 25%
Deterioration • 25%
Increased readiness • 25%
Decreased readiness • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other change • 25%
Another ballistic missile test • 33%
Nuclear test • 33%
Submarine-launched ballistic missile (SLBM) test • 33%
Missile test • 25%
Nuclear test • 25%
Drone operation • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased air support • 25%
Shift to defensive operations • 25%
Withdrawal from active combat • 25%
Continued mass infantry assaults • 25%
Increased military spending • 25%
Deployment of additional troops • 25%
Strengthening of alliances • 25%
No significant policy changes • 25%
Increased border skirmishes • 25%
Formal military engagement • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Nuclear Force Expansion • 25%
Conventional Armament • 25%
Cyber Warfare Capabilities • 25%
Ballistic Missile Development • 25%
Formation of new military alliances • 25%
Increased defense budgets in the region • 25%
Deployment of new defense systems • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Significant increase • 25%
Moderate increase • 25%
No change • 25%
Decrease • 25%