Loading...
Market
Ukraine redeploys troops to Belarus border by end of 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statements from Ukrainian defense department, news reports
Story
Lukashenko Announces Reduction of Tensions on Ukraine Border, Troops Withdrawal
Jul 13, 2024, 04:29 PM
Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko announced a reduction of tensions on the border with Ukraine. Following specific actions by Belarus, Ukraine has withdrawn its armed forces and additional troops from the border. Lukashenko has guaranteed that there will be no clashes on the border and instructed Belarusian soldiers to withdraw to their permanent bases on the southern borders. Ukraine's Defence Intelligence also confirmed that there are no additional threats from Belarus at present, according to Belta.
View original story
Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Increased military presence at the border • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Appeal to international organizations • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Fear of Ukrainian military buildup • 25%
Pressure from Moscow • 25%
Military exercises • 25%
Other • 25%
Forces remain without conflict • 25%
Forces withdraw without conflict • 25%
Minor skirmishes occur • 25%
Full-scale conflict erupts • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Continued skirmishes without major escalation • 33%
Major military offensive by Belarus • 33%
Ceasefire or significant de-escalation • 33%