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Taiwan's military readiness status post-incursion by August 2024
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased alert level • 25%
No change in status • 25%
Strategic military realignment • 25%
Public transparency increase • 25%
Taiwanese Ministry of Defense announcements or verified defense analysis reports
Story
Record Number of Chinese Ships Enter Taiwan's Kinmen Waters on May 9, Conduct Exercises
May 10, 2024, 07:00 AM
A fleet of at least 12 Chinese ships, including 5 Coast Guard vessels and 7 other ships, entered Taiwan's restricted waters near the Kinmen Islands on May 9, 2024. This incursion, which brought the ships as close as 4 nautical miles to Taiwan's territory, marks the largest number of Chinese vessels recorded in the area. The 11 ships reportedly conducted maritime exercises in two groups, representing a significant breach of Taiwan's territorial waters.
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Increase in military spending • 25%
Formation of new military alliances • 25%
Deployment of additional anti-missile systems • 25%
No significant change in military posture • 25%
Increase in military tension • 33%
Status quo maintained • 34%
De-escalation of military activities • 33%
Strengthening of domestic military capabilities • 25%
Seeking stronger international alliances • 25%
Internal political changes • 25%
No significant change in policy • 25%
