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VisitPolls Show Biden and Trump in Tight Race for 2024 Election, Trump 50% to Biden 49%
Jun 9, 2024, 03:04 PM
Recent polls indicate a tight race between President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump in the upcoming 2024 US Presidential Election. According to a CBS News/YouGov poll, Trump leads nationally with 50% to Biden's 49%, while in battleground states, Biden holds a slight edge with 50% to Trump's 49%. Post-conviction surveys show Trump leading or tied in key swing states, despite his 34 convictions in a hush-money trial. An Emerson poll shows Biden at 45% and Trump at 46%. Economic factors play a significant role, with many voters believing Trump would handle the economy better than Biden. A new poll reveals economic hardship from higher prices is severely damaging Biden's prospects, while boosting Trump's comeback. Additionally, a significant portion of Biden's supporters are motivated primarily by opposition to Trump rather than support for Biden himself. Betting markets, with a $155m pot, have Trump at 56%.
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Markets
Trump • 50%
Biden • 50%
CBS News/YouGov Poll
Biden • 50%
Trump • 50%
Betting Market Data
Biden • 50%
Trump • 50%
CBS News/YouGov Poll
Biden gains ≥ 5% • 33%
No significant change • 33%
Trump gains ≥ 5% • 33%
Economic Polls
Biden ≥ 50% • 33%
Biden 46-49% • 33%
Biden ≤ 45% • 33%
Emerson Poll
Biden • 50%
Trump • 50%
Post-Conviction Surveys