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VisitBattleground States Poll Leader by November 1, 2024?
Biden • 50%
Trump • 50%
CBS News/YouGov Poll
Polls Show Biden and Trump in Tight Race for 2024 Election, Trump 50% to Biden 49%
Jun 9, 2024, 03:04 PM
Recent polls indicate a tight race between President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump in the upcoming 2024 US Presidential Election. According to a CBS News/YouGov poll, Trump leads nationally with 50% to Biden's 49%, while in battleground states, Biden holds a slight edge with 50% to Trump's 49%. Post-conviction surveys show Trump leading or tied in key swing states, despite his 34 convictions in a hush-money trial. An Emerson poll shows Biden at 45% and Trump at 46%. Economic factors play a significant role, with many voters believing Trump would handle the economy better than Biden. A new poll reveals economic hardship from higher prices is severely damaging Biden's prospects, while boosting Trump's comeback. Additionally, a significant portion of Biden's supporters are motivated primarily by opposition to Trump rather than support for Biden himself. Betting markets, with a $155m pot, have Trump at 56%.
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California • 25%
Texas • 25%
Florida • 25%
Pennsylvania • 25%
Donald Trump • 40%
Joe Biden • 40%
Another candidate • 20%
0-5 points • 33%
6-10 points • 34%
More than 10 points • 33%
California • 25%
Texas • 25%
Florida • 25%
Ohio • 25%
Reform UK • 33%
Conservatives • 33%
Labour • 33%
Biden gains ≥ 5% • 33%
No significant change • 33%
Trump gains ≥ 5% • 33%
Biden ≥ 50% • 33%
Biden 46-49% • 33%
Biden ≤ 45% • 33%