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Pentagon Selects SpaceX, Blue Origin, ULA for $5.6 Billion Rocket Contracts Through 2029

Jun 13, 2024, 10:06 PM

The Pentagon has selected SpaceX, Blue Origin, and United Launch Alliance (ULA) to compete for rocket launch awards under its Lane 1, Phase 3 program. The contract, valued at up to $5.6 billion, will run through 2029. This selection marks the first time Jeff Bezos' Blue Origin has been included in the Pentagon's launch sweepstakes. The awards are part of the NSSL Phase 3 program and involve the U.S. Air Force.

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Blue Origin first Lane 1, Phase 3 launch?

The Pentagon•SpaceX•Blue Origin•United Launch Alliance•ULA•Jeff Bezos•the Pentagon

Resolution / Starting Odds

Yes • 50%

No • 50%

Official announcements from Blue Origin or the U.S. Department of Defense or U.S. Air Force

SpaceX secures first Lane 1, Phase 3 contract?

The Pentagon•SpaceX•Blue Origin•United Launch Alliance•ULA•Jeff Bezos•the Pentagon

Resolution / Starting Odds

No • 50%

Yes • 50%

Official announcements from the U.S. Department of Defense or U.S. Air Force

ULA first Lane 1, Phase 3 launch success?

The Pentagon•SpaceX•Blue Origin•United Launch Alliance•ULA•Jeff Bezos•the Pentagon

Resolution / Starting Odds

No • 50%

Yes • 50%

Official announcements from ULA or the U.S. Department of Defense or U.S. Air Force

Largest share of Lane 1, Phase 3 contract?

The Pentagon•SpaceX•Blue Origin•United Launch Alliance•ULA•Jeff Bezos•the Pentagon

Resolution / Starting Odds

ULA • 33%

SpaceX • 33%

Blue Origin • 33%

Official contract award data from the U.S. Department of Defense or U.S. Air Force

Most launches under Lane 1, Phase 3 by end of 2025?

The Pentagon•SpaceX•Blue Origin•United Launch Alliance•ULA•Jeff Bezos•the Pentagon

Resolution / Starting Odds

SpaceX • 33%

ULA • 33%

Blue Origin • 33%

Launch records from each company and official announcements from the U.S. Department of Defense or U.S. Air Force

Most launch failures under Lane 1, Phase 3 by end of 2026?

The Pentagon•SpaceX•Blue Origin•United Launch Alliance•ULA•Jeff Bezos•the Pentagon

Resolution / Starting Odds

ULA • 33%

SpaceX • 33%

Blue Origin • 33%

Launch failure records from each company and official announcements from the U.S. Department of Defense or U.S. Air Force