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ULA first Lane 1, Phase 3 launch success?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from ULA or the U.S. Department of Defense or U.S. Air Force
Story
Pentagon Selects SpaceX, Blue Origin, ULA for $5.6 Billion Rocket Contracts Through 2029
Jun 13, 2024, 10:06 PM
The Pentagon has selected SpaceX, Blue Origin, and United Launch Alliance (ULA) to compete for rocket launch awards under its Lane 1, Phase 3 program. The contract, valued at up to $5.6 billion, will run through 2029. This selection marks the first time Jeff Bezos' Blue Origin has been included in the Pentagon's launch sweepstakes. The awards are part of the NSSL Phase 3 program and involve the U.S. Air Force.
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Successful splashdown • 33%
Successful landing • 33%
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Successful launch • 33%
Scrubbed due to technical issues • 33%
Scrubbed due to weather • 33%
Successful launch and landing • 25%
Successful launch but failed landing • 25%
Failed launch • 25%
Launch delayed • 25%
Continue • 50%
Halt • 50%
First orbital flight • 33%
First human flight • 33%
First commercial payload • 34%