Loading...
Market
Russian government response to Sevastopol car bomb by March 2025?
3
Sevastopol•Crimea•Rank Valery Trankovsky•Black Sea Fleet•Ukrainian•Security Service of Ukraine•SBU•Trankovsky•Ukraine•Kalibr
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased military presence in Crimea • 25%
Diplomatic actions against Ukraine • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Other significant action • 25%
Official government actions or announcements
Story
SBU Claims Car Bomb in Sevastopol Killed Russian Navy Captain Trankovsky
Nov 13, 2024, 09:00 AM
A powerful car explosion on a city street near a supermarket in Sevastopol, occupied Crimea, on November 13 killed Captain 1st Rank Valery Trankovsky, Chief of Staff of the 41st Missile Boat Brigade of Russia's Black Sea Fleet. The blast, reportedly caused by an improvised explosive device (IED) planted under the driver's side of the vehicle and detonated remotely, scattered debris across the courtyard and car parts across the street. Witnesses described the explosion as extremely powerful. Ukrainian special forces or partisans are believed to be behind the attack, with the Security Service of Ukraine (SBU) confirming their involvement. Trankovsky was implicated in ordering missile strikes on civilian targets in Ukraine; his brigade includes Kalibr cruise missile carriers that have participated in attacks on Ukrainian cities. Local authorities acknowledged the incident, noting that the possibility of sabotage could not be ruled out, and an investigation is underway.
View original story
Similar markets
Condemnation of attack • 25%
Calls for investigation • 25%
No official response • 25%
Support for Russia • 25%
Blame on Ukraine • 25%
Blame on internal dissidents • 25%
Blame on foreign governments (non-Ukraine) • 25%
No clear blame assigned • 25%
Increased security measures • 25%
Retaliatory action against suspected actors • 25%
Diplomatic actions • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Increase sanctions on Ukraine • 25%
Diplomatic response • 25%
Military response • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Ukraine • 25%
Russia • 25%
Other • 25%
No Clear Blame • 25%
Increased internal security measures • 25%
Diplomatic actions • 25%
Military actions • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Confirmed sabotage • 25%
Accidental explosion • 25%
No conclusive result • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Condemnation of attack • 25%
Calls for investigation • 25%
Support for Ukrainian actions • 25%
No official response • 25%
Accidental explosion • 25%
Terrorist attack • 25%
Foreign sabotage • 25%
Internal sabotage • 25%
Deny involvement • 25%
Admit involvement • 25%
No official response • 25%
Claim misinformation • 25%
Cyber attacks • 25%
Military action • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic measures • 25%