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Resolution of the South Korean constitutional crisis by June 30, 2025
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yoon Reinstated • 25%
Yoon Permanently Removed • 25%
Han Remains Acting President • 25%
New Elections Called • 25%
Official announcements from the South Korean government and Constitutional Court
Story
South Korean Opposition Moves to Impeach Acting President Han Over Court Appointments
Dec 26, 2024, 08:41 AM
South Korea's main opposition Democratic Party has filed an impeachment motion against Acting President and Prime Minister Han Duck-soo, accusing him of refusing to appoint three judges to the Constitutional Court, which is required to rule on the impeachment of President Yoon Suk Yeol. The motion was submitted to the National Assembly's plenary session on Thursday, and a vote is scheduled for Friday. If the motion passes, Deputy Prime Minister Choi Sang-mok, who is also the Minister of Strategy and Finance, will become the acting president. Han has been acting president for less than two weeks, following the impeachment of President Yoon on December 14 after a short-lived declaration of martial law. The Constitutional Court must deliver a ruling within six months on whether to uphold or overturn the impeachment of President Yoon. Han's refusal to appoint the judges has deepened the country's constitutional crisis.
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President Yoon remains in office • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
President Yoon resigns • 25%
President Yoon is impeached • 25%
Judges Appointed • 25%
Resolution Achieved • 25%
Crisis Continues • 25%
Han Duck-soo Impeached • 25%
Yoon removed • 33%
Yoon not removed • 33%
Decision postponed • 34%
Yoon Remains in Power • 25%
Other Resolution • 25%
Yoon Resigns • 25%
Yoon Impeached • 25%
Martial law lifted, opposition gains power • 25%
Martial law lifted, current government remains • 25%
Martial law remains, government unchanged • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
President Yoon is impeached • 25%
President Yoon remains in power • 25%
Power-sharing agreement reached • 25%
Military coup occurs • 25%
Other • 25%
Escalation of crisis • 25%
Crisis resolved • 25%
Crisis ongoing • 25%
Impeachment upheld and Yoon removed • 25%
Impeachment overturned • 25%
Yoon resigns before conclusion • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Not impeached • 25%
Impeached but not removed • 25%
Proceedings not concluded • 25%
Impeached and removed • 25%
Government reshuffle • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Other significant political changes • 25%
Resignation and snap election • 25%