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Market
Primary U.S. response to major Chinese cyber threat by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Diplomatic Sanctions • 25%
Economic Sanctions • 25%
Cyber Retaliation • 25%
Increased Cybersecurity Measures • 25%
Official U.S. government policy announcements or credible news reports
Story
FBI Director Wray Warns China's Cyber Program Has Stolen Data and Threatens U.S. Infrastructure
Jan 12, 2025, 07:30 PM
FBI Director Christopher Wray, in a recent statement, highlighted the growing threat posed by China's cyber program, asserting that it has stolen more personal and corporate data from the U.S. than all other nations combined. Wray warned that the Chinese government is strategically positioning itself on American civilian critical infrastructure, preparing to inflict real-world harm at a time and place of their choosing. This admission underscores concerns regarding national security and the need for a robust response to safeguard U.S. infrastructure from potential cyberattacks. Lawmakers, including Representative Don Bacon, echoed these concerns, calling for a more assertive cyber response to deter Chinese aggression against American systems, including infrastructure, cellphones, and banking systems.
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No significant action • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
Diplomatic dialogue initiated • 25%
Other measures • 25%
International cyber cooperation agreements • 25%
New cybersecurity legislation • 25%
Increased cyber defense funding • 25%
Other • 25%
Sanctions against China • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Diplomatic actions • 25%
Increased cybersecurity measures • 25%
Propose diplomatic talks • 25%
Deny involvement • 25%
Acknowledge involvement • 25%
No official response • 25%
Other entities • 25%
Cybersecurity firms • 25%
Telecom companies • 25%
Government agencies • 25%
Increased cyber sanctions • 25%
New cybersecurity agreement • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Escalation of cyber conflict • 25%
Mass deportations • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Enhanced counter-terrorism operations • 25%
Increased border security • 25%
Cybersecurity enhancements • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic measures • 25%
Public awareness campaigns • 25%
Domestic cybersecurity laws • 25%
International cooperation • 25%
Increased funding • 25%
Public-private partnerships • 25%
Access Controls • 25%
Personnel Training • 25%
Data Encryption • 25%
Network Security • 25%