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Market
Primary UK/US response to drone incidents by April 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased military patrols • 25%
Implementation of anti-drone technology • 25%
Diplomatic action • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Official government statements or policy announcements
Story
Unidentified Drones Disrupt U.S. Flight Operations at RAF Lakenheath, Mildenhall, Feltwell
Nov 23, 2024, 11:14 PM
Between November 20 and 22, unidentified drones were spotted over three U.S. Air Force bases in the United Kingdom: RAF Lakenheath and RAF Mildenhall in Suffolk, and RAF Feltwell in Norfolk. The drones, varying in size and configuration, were detected flying over and near these installations, leading to disruptions in flight operations involving F-35A and F-15E fighter jets. The U.S. Air Forces Europe confirmed the incidents, noting that the number of unmanned aerial systems fluctuated and that they were actively monitored. There were unconfirmed reports that fighter jets were scrambled to intercept the drones. Security concerns have been raised, as the bases are associated with the storage of nuclear weapons and house fourth- and fifth-generation aircraft.
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Diplomatic engagement • 25%
Military de-escalation • 25%
Sanctions on SDF • 25%
No significant change • 25%
New regulations • 25%
Increased military security measures • 25%
Public awareness campaign • 25%
No significant response • 25%
United States • 25%
Turkey • 25%
Syria • 25%
None by deadline • 25%
Increased surveillance • 25%
Deployment of anti-drone technology • 25%
Public awareness campaign • 25%
No significant action • 25%
SDF • 25%
Turkey • 25%
U.S. military error • 25%
No official blame • 25%
Deployment of federal resources • 25%
New federal drone regulations • 25%
Increased funding for local enforcement • 25%
No action • 25%
Strengthen Drone Laws • 25%
Increase Military Patrols • 25%
Deploy New Technology • 25%
No Action • 25%
Increased surveillance • 25%
Enhanced counter-drone technology • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
Other • 25%
Sanctions Imposed • 25%
Diplomatic Talks Initiated • 25%
No Action Taken • 25%
Other Measures Implemented • 25%
Increase military operations • 25%
Impose sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Diplomatic protest • 25%
Military action • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Increased air defenses • 25%
Diplomatic complaint • 25%
Retaliatory military action • 25%
No significant action • 25%