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Market
Primary response from sanctuary cities to mass deportation efforts by March 2025?
2
Trump•Chicago•Donald Trump•Wall Street Journal•Immigration and Customs Enforcement•ICE•New York•Brandon Johnson
Resolution / Starting Odds
Legal action against federal government • 25%
Increased local law enforcement cooperation • 25%
Public protests and demonstrations • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Official statements from city governments, ICE, and major news outlets
Story
Trump to Begin Mass Deportation with Chicago Raids Tuesday; Mayor Johnson Vows Opposition
Jan 18, 2025, 01:16 AM
The incoming Trump administration is planning to initiate a large-scale immigration raid in Chicago next week, starting on Tuesday, the day after President-elect Donald Trump's inauguration, according to reports from the Wall Street Journal citing four people familiar with the planning. The operation will involve the deployment of between 100 and 200 Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) officers to conduct raids in the city. This marks the first move in Trump's promised mass deportation campaign. The multi-day operation is expected to last all week, with similar actions potentially taking place in other sanctuary cities, including New York. Chicago Mayor Brandon Johnson has vowed to stand in the way of the federal operation.
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Similar markets
Neutral stance • 25%
Increased legal resistance • 25%
Other • 25%
Compliance with federal directives • 25%
New legal actions against federal government • 25%
No change in policies • 25%
Sanctuary policies weakened • 25%
Sanctuary policies strengthened • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
4-5 cities • 25%
More than 5 cities • 25%
2-3 cities • 25%
Only Chicago • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Other reaction • 25%
Widespread support • 25%
Widespread opposition • 25%
Mixed responses • 25%
Full cooperation • 25%
Partial cooperation • 25%
No cooperation • 25%
Support and cooperate • 25%
Oppose and obstruct • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Other • 25%
Remain neutral • 25%
Propose alternative measures • 25%
Oppose the plan • 25%
Support the plan • 25%
No response • 25%
Supportive response • 25%
Critical response • 25%
Neutral response • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
