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Market
Will any sanctuary city officially cooperate with the deportation campaign by end of 2025?
3
Donald Trump•Immigration and Customs Enforcement•ICE•Trump•Republican•Joseph Lombardo•Chris Sununu•Chicago
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Statements from city officials or news reports
Story
Trump to Allow ICE Arrests at Sensitive Locations, 26 Governors Back Deportation Campaign
Dec 11, 2024, 09:29 PM
President-elect Donald Trump is reportedly planning to lift restrictions that currently prevent Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) officers from making arrests near sensitive locations such as churches, schools, hospitals, weddings, and funerals. This policy change would enable ICE agents to conduct arrests at these locations, reversing a longstanding practice aimed at protecting vulnerable populations. Trump's administration has garnered support from 26 Republican governors, including Joseph Lombardo and Chris Sununu, who have pledged to assist in what is described as a historic mass deportation campaign. The governors have expressed their commitment to work with Trump to address the southern border crisis and enhance national security by deporting undocumented immigrants. The plan includes mass deportations starting in Chicago, with the involvement of far-right militias and the need for jails and cooperation from sanctuary cities.
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Similar markets
Increased legal resistance • 25%
Other • 25%
Compliance with federal directives • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Reversal of sanctuary policies • 25%
Decrease in sanctuary cities • 25%
Increase in sanctuary cities • 25%
No significant change • 25%
No change • 25%
Strengthening of policies • 25%
Weakening of policies • 25%
Mixed changes • 25%
Mixed responses • 25%
Full cooperation • 25%
Partial cooperation • 25%
No cooperation • 25%
Sanctuary policies strengthened • 25%
Sanctuary policies weakened • 25%
No change in policies • 25%
New legal actions against federal government • 25%
Critical response • 25%
No response • 25%
Neutral response • 25%
Supportive response • 25%
Legal action against sanctuary cities • 25%
Increased ICE operations in sanctuary cities • 25%
No significant actions • 25%
Funding cuts to sanctuary cities • 25%
Full cooperation • 25%
Partial cooperation • 25%
No cooperation • 25%
Legal challenges • 25%
