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How many sanctuary cities will be targeted by mass deportation raids by January 27, 2025?
3
Trump•Chicago•Donald Trump•Immigration and Customs Enforcement•ICE•Brandon Johnson•New York City•Los Angeles•Denver•Miami
Resolution / Starting Odds
Only Chicago • 25%
2-3 cities • 25%
4-5 cities • 25%
More than 5 cities • 25%
Reports from credible news outlets and official ICE announcements
Story
Trump to Begin Mass Deportations Targeting Sanctuary Cities Like Chicago on Tuesday; Mayor Vows Resistance
Jan 18, 2025, 01:27 AM
According to reports, the incoming Trump administration is planning to initiate a large-scale immigration raid in Chicago next week, starting Tuesday morning, the day after President-elect Donald Trump's inauguration. The operation, described by sources as a significant undertaking targeting sanctuary cities, is expected to involve between 100 and 200 Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) officers. This marks the first move in Trump's promised mass deportation campaign targeting undocumented immigrants. Chicago Mayor Brandon Johnson has reportedly promised to stand in the way of the operation. Similar raids may also take place in other cities such as New York City, Los Angeles, Denver, and Miami. The raids are expected to last all week and represent a significant escalation in immigration enforcement efforts, potentially becoming the largest deportation operation in U.S. history.
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More than 15 • 25%
Less than 5 • 25%
5 to 10 • 25%
11 to 15 • 25%
11-15 cities • 25%
6-10 cities • 25%
1-5 cities • 25%
More than 15 cities • 25%
Public protests and demonstrations • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Increased local law enforcement cooperation • 25%
Legal action against federal government • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No change in policies • 25%
New legal actions against federal government • 25%
Sanctuary policies weakened • 25%
Sanctuary policies strengthened • 25%
Compliance with federal directives • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased legal resistance • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
No raids conducted • 25%
Extended to multiple sanctuary cities • 25%
Limited to Chicago • 25%
Extended to New York City only • 25%
16+ states • 25%
11-15 states • 25%
6-10 states • 25%
0-5 states • 25%
100-500 arrests • 25%
Less than 100 arrests • 25%
More than 1000 arrests • 25%
501-1000 arrests • 25%