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Primary resolution method for the Kovel protests by end of 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Negotiation • 25%
Legal action • 25%
Forceful dispersal • 25%
Protests fizzle out • 25%
News reports, official statements
Story
Residents of Kovel Protest Against Military Enlistment Office, Three Men Released
Aug 3, 2024, 11:07 PM
In Kovel, a city in the Volyn region of Western Ukraine, residents have staged a public rally against the local military enlistment office. The protests were sparked by the detention of men by mobilization officers at a roadblock. Demonstrators are demanding the release of those held, accusing the authorities of illegal detentions. The situation has led to a long standoff with police and military personnel. Protesters applauded the release of three men.
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Government Concessions • 25%
Increased Security Measures • 25%
Mediation by External Party • 25%
Protests Continue Unresolved • 25%
Policy changes in military detention practices • 25%
Increased security at military bases • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Other • 25%
Policy change • 25%
Government resignation • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Diplomatic statement • 25%
No official response • 25%
Increased security measures • 25%
Policy change • 25%
All charges dropped • 25%
Some charges dropped • 25%
No charges dropped • 25%
Protesters found guilty • 25%
Dismissed • 25%
Investigation Launched • 25%
Arrest Warrant Issued • 25%
Other Legal Actions • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Military action • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other • 25%
Prisoner exchange deal secured • 25%
Ceasefire announced • 25%
Both prisoner exchange deal and ceasefire • 25%
Neither • 25%
Protests lead to a cease-fire deal • 25%
Protests lead to a change in government policy • 25%
Protests subside without major changes • 25%
Protests escalate into more violence • 25%
DNA testing • 25%
Third-party mediation • 25%
Direct negotiation • 25%
Other • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
International court rulings • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
Continued stalemate • 25%