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Primary resolution method for Syrian unrest by December 31, 2025?
2
Tartous•Syria•Syrian Interior Ministry•Alawite•Aleppo•Homs•Latakia•Jableh•Syrian•Mohammed Abdul Rahman•Assad
Resolution / Starting Odds
Military Intervention • 25%
Diplomatic Negotiations • 25%
Continued Protests • 25%
Government Concessions • 25%
Reports from reputable news agencies on the resolution of unrest
Story
Clashes in Tartous Leave 14 Syrian Interior Ministry Personnel Dead and 10 Injured Amid Alawite Protests and Curfews in Homs
Dec 25, 2024, 10:12 PM
Clashes in Tartous, Syria, have resulted in the deaths of 14 members of the Syrian Interior Ministry and injuries to 10 others. The violence erupted following protests by the Alawite community in response to a video showing an attack on an Alawite shrine in Aleppo. The protests have led to curfews being imposed in multiple cities, including Homs, Latakia, and Jableh, as tensions rise. The Syrian Interior Minister, Mohammed Abdul Rahman, confirmed that the fatalities occurred during an ambush by remnants of the previous regime while the security forces were performing their duties. The unrest reflects deepening sectarian divisions in the country, particularly among the Alawite minority, which has historically supported the Assad regime.
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Transition to an inclusive government • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Partial political reforms • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Full reconciliation achieved • 25%
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No reconciliation achieved • 25%
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Increased sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic intervention • 25%
Humanitarian aid • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Regime Change • 25%
Continued Conflict • 25%
Other • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
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