Loading...
Market
Primary reason for resolution of Arles prison hostage situation by March 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Successful negotiations • 25%
Inmate's voluntary surrender • 25%
Intervention by elite police units • 25%
Other reasons • 25%
Official statements from French authorities or media reports
Story
Five Staff Held Hostage at Arles Prison; Inmate Surrenders After Five Hours
Jan 3, 2025, 01:06 PM
An inmate at the Arles prison in southern France took five staff members hostage on Friday, January 3, 2025. The 37-year-old prisoner, armed with homemade bladed weapons known as "pics artisanaux", held four medical personnel and a prison guard captive in the prison's infirmary from around 11:15 am. The hostage-taker, known to have severe psychiatric issues and incarcerated since 2015 for armed rape, demanded a transfer to another facility. Interior Minister Gérald Darmanin stated that all resources were mobilized to address the situation. Elite police units, including the RAID, were deployed to the scene. After negotiations lasting approximately five hours, one of the hostages, a female doctor, was released. The incident concluded without injuries when the inmate surrendered to authorities after five hours, and all hostages were released unharmed.
View original story
Similar markets
RAID • 25%
Joint operation • 25%
ELSP • 25%
ERIS • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Inmate surrenders peacefully • 25%
Some hostages harmed • 25%
All hostages released unharmed • 25%
Intervention forces storm the infirmary • 25%
Mixed response • 25%
Positive response • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Negative response • 25%
Psychiatric evaluations for inmates • 25%
Increased security measures in prisons • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Continued Captivity • 25%
Other • 25%
Military Operation • 25%
Negotiated Release • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Majority Recaptured • 25%
Minority Recaptured • 25%
No Significant Recapture • 25%
Hostages not released • 25%
Hostages partially released • 25%
Hostages released • 25%
Other outcome • 25%