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Primary reason for failure in HTS's protection of Shia sites in Syria by end of 2024
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Internal HTS issues • 25%
External military pressure • 25%
Political agreements • 25%
Other reasons • 25%
Analysis from international media and expert reports
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HTS Promises to Protect Shia Minorities and Sites in Syria, New York Times Reports
Dec 7, 2024, 09:14 PM
Hay'at Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) has reportedly communicated to Iran its commitment to protect the Shiite minority and religious sites in Syria. This pledge was made in a message to Iranian officials, according to a report by the New York Times. The report also notes that Iran requested HTS to ensure the safe passage of Iranian troops out of Syria and to safeguard Shia shrines.
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Security maintained • 33%
Incidents reported • 33%
Official complaints lodged • 34%
Political engagement • 25%
Military operations • 25%
Humanitarian efforts • 25%
Other • 25%
Democratic elections • 25%
Authoritarian rule • 25%
Transitional government • 25%
No new governance established • 25%
Psychological warfare • 25%
Lack of resources • 25%
Intelligence failure • 25%
Other • 25%
HTS gains significant territory • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Syrian army regains all lost territory • 25%
Other • 25%