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Primary outcome of Israeli military mobilization in northern Israel by Dec 31, 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased military presence without conflict • 25%
Limited skirmishes with Hezbollah • 25%
Full-scale conflict with Hezbollah • 25%
De-escalation and withdrawal • 25%
Reports from reputable news agencies and official statements from the Israeli government
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Israeli Military Mobilizes Additional Reserve Brigade for Northern Israel on Friday, Says IDF
Oct 18, 2024, 11:18 AM
The Israeli military has announced the mobilization of an additional reserve brigade for operational missions in northern Israel. This decision, made following a situational assessment on Friday, aims to reinforce ongoing combat efforts in the northern sector, particularly against Hezbollah. The move is part of a strategy to apply overwhelming force in the region, according to the IDF.
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Minor Hezbollah losses • 25%
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