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Primary motive for the assault on Chad's presidential palace identified by March 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Political coup attempt • 25%
Criminal activity • 25%
Religious extremism • 25%
Other • 25%
Official investigation reports or reputable news outlets
Story
Chad Thwarts Assault by 24 Armed Individuals on Presidential Palace, 19 Killed
Jan 9, 2025, 06:20 AM
Chad's government reported thwarting an armed assault on the presidential palace in N'Djamena, resulting in the deaths of 19 individuals, including 18 attackers and one security officer. The attack was carried out by a group of 24 armed individuals on Wednesday evening, shortly after a visit by China's Foreign Minister Wang Yi, who met with President Mahamat Idriss Deby. The government stated that the situation was quickly brought under control, with six attackers captured and three security officers injured. The attack was described as a 'destabilization attempt' by a disorganized group, potentially under the influence of drugs and alcohol, rather than an organized terrorist group like Boko Haram.
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Foreign government • 25%
Independent militia • 25%
Unknown • 25%
Local political opposition • 25%
Identified as local disorganized group • 25%
No conclusive outcome • 25%
Linked to organized crime • 25%
Linked to foreign entity • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No major action • 25%
Peace talks initiated • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
Curfews imposed • 25%
Foreign mercenaries • 25%
Other • 25%
Boko Haram • 25%
Local insurgents • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Public condemnation • 25%
Diplomatic action • 25%
Increased security measures • 25%
Increased military presence in N'Djamena • 25%
No significant action taken • 25%
Implementation of new security policies • 25%
Diplomatic engagement with neighboring countries • 25%
Unchanged • 25%
Unclear • 25%
Improved • 25%
Deteriorated • 25%