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Market
Primary Mexican government action against drug trafficking in 2025?
2
Sinaloa•Mexican Navy•Sinaloa Cartel•Donald Trump•Mexico•Mexican•Claudia Sheinbaum•Trump•Joe Biden•Sheinbaum•United States
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased military operations • 25%
Stricter border controls • 25%
Enhanced international cooperation • 25%
Other • 25%
Official announcements from the Mexican government or verified news sources
Story
Mexico Seizes 20M Fentanyl Doses Worth $394M Amid Trump Tariff Threats
Dec 7, 2024, 04:18 AM
Mexican authorities have announced the largest fentanyl seizure in the country's history, confiscating over a ton (1,000 kg) of the synthetic opioid in Sinaloa. The operation, led by the Mexican Navy, resulted in the seizure of 20 million doses of fentanyl worth $394 million and the arrest of two individuals. The region, dominated by the Sinaloa Cartel, has seen escalating violence, with over 50 murders reported recently. The record-breaking bust follows threats by former U.S. President Donald Trump to impose tariffs on Mexico to curb drug trafficking and migration. While Mexican officials, including President Claudia Sheinbaum, stated the operation was long-planned, analysts have speculated it was influenced by Trump's warnings. U.S. President Joe Biden commended Sheinbaum's leadership in the operation and noted a 14% reduction in opioid overdose deaths in the United States, attributing the success to collaborative efforts between the two countries. The seized fentanyl was sufficient to potentially affect 15% of the U.S. population.
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Rejection of US Actions • 25%
No Official Response • 25%
Request for International Mediation • 25%
Cooperation with US • 25%
Increased military operations against cartels • 25%
Stricter border controls • 25%
New drug decriminalization laws • 25%
Other • 25%
Opposition to U.S. initiatives • 25%
Full cooperation with U.S. initiatives • 25%
Partial cooperation with U.S. initiatives • 25%
No cooperation with U.S. initiatives • 25%
New educational policies • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Arrests and prosecutions • 25%
Increased security presence • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Increased cooperation • 25%
Decreased cooperation • 25%
No change in cooperation • 25%
Local Police • 25%
Military • 25%
Federal Police • 25%
Joint Operation • 25%
Other • 25%
Launch investigation • 25%
Increase law enforcement • 25%
No action • 25%
Military Intervention • 25%
Economic Sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic Efforts • 25%
Covert Operations • 25%
Chihuahua • 25%
Other • 25%
Sinaloa • 25%
Jalisco • 25%
Department of State • 25%
Department of Defense • 25%
Department of Homeland Security • 25%
CIA • 25%