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Primary method in any new assassination attempt on Russian defense officials by June 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Disguised bombs • 25%
Sniper attack • 25%
Poisoning • 25%
Other • 25%
Official statements from Russian authorities or credible media reports
Story
Russia's FSB Foils Ukrainian Plots to Kill Defense Officials and Their Families with Disguised Bombs, Arrests Four Suspects
Dec 26, 2024, 09:02 AM
Russia's Federal Security Service (FSB) announced that it has thwarted multiple assassination plots orchestrated by Ukrainian intelligence services targeting high-ranking officials of the Russian Ministry of Defense and their families. The FSB reported the detention of four Russian nationals allegedly involved in these plots. The agency indicated that the suspects were planning to use disguised bombs, including devices concealed as power banks and document folders. This announcement follows a recent incident where a top Russian general was killed, raising concerns about the security of military officials in Moscow. The FSB's actions reflect ongoing tensions between Russia and Ukraine amid the ongoing conflict.
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Shooting • 25%
Poisoning • 25%
Explosive device • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Diplomatic measures against Ukraine • 25%
Cyber attacks attributed to Russia • 25%
Increased military actions in Ukraine • 25%
No significant response • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Military action against Ukraine • 25%
Diplomatic measures • 25%
Cyber retaliation • 25%
No official blame assigned • 25%
Internal Dissidents • 25%
Ukraine • 25%
Foreign Intelligence Agency • 25%
Public awareness campaigns • 25%
Enhanced police presence • 25%
Increased surveillance • 25%
No significant measures • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Internal Russian actors • 25%
Ukraine • 25%
Other foreign entities • 25%
No official blame assigned • 25%
Condemnation of Ukraine • 25%
Call for international investigation • 25%
Military retaliation • 25%
Other • 25%