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Market
Next target of assassination attempt among Russian defense officials by June 30, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Minister of Defense • 25%
Chief of Staff • 25%
Deputy Minister of Defense • 25%
Other • 25%
Official statements from Russian authorities or credible media reports
Story
Russia's FSB Foils Ukrainian Plots to Kill Defense Officials and Their Families with Disguised Bombs, Arrests Four Suspects
Dec 26, 2024, 09:02 AM
Russia's Federal Security Service (FSB) announced that it has thwarted multiple assassination plots orchestrated by Ukrainian intelligence services targeting high-ranking officials of the Russian Ministry of Defense and their families. The FSB reported the detention of four Russian nationals allegedly involved in these plots. The agency indicated that the suspects were planning to use disguised bombs, including devices concealed as power banks and document folders. This announcement follows a recent incident where a top Russian general was killed, raising concerns about the security of military officials in Moscow. The FSB's actions reflect ongoing tensions between Russia and Ukraine amid the ongoing conflict.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Shooting • 25%
Poisoning • 25%
Explosive device • 25%
Other • 25%
Officer from another Russian military unit • 25%
No high-ranking officer targeted • 25%
Officer from 135th Motorised Rifle Regiment • 25%
Officer from 4th Guards Military Base • 25%
Transportation hubs • 25%
Military installations • 25%
Residential buildings • 25%
Industrial facilities • 25%
Another location in Chechnya • 25%
St. Petersburg • 25%
Other • 25%
Moscow • 25%
Other • 25%
Moscow • 25%
Saint Petersburg • 25%
Kazan • 25%
Yes, complete overhaul • 25%
Other response • 25%
No changes • 25%
Yes, partial changes • 25%
