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Philippines-China bilateral talks on Scarborough Shoal by mid-2025?
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statements from either the Philippine or Chinese government
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Philippines-China Tensions Escalate Over Scarborough Shoal, Huangyan Island, 'Cognitive Warfare'
May 21, 2024, 11:08 PM
Tensions between the Philippines and China have escalated over disputes in the South China Sea. Recent flashpoints include Chinese fishermen damaging the marine environment at Scarborough Shoal and Chinese ships firing water cannons at Philippine ships. The Philippines has accused China of causing the loss of giant clams in Huangyan Island, prompting calls for an environmental inquiry. The conflict has deepened with fears of 'cognitive warfare' and questions about how far the conflict will escalate.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Controlled by China • 25%
Controlled by the Philippines • 25%
Jointly managed • 25%
Undetermined • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Controlled by China • 25%
Controlled by Philippines • 25%
Joint management agreement • 25%
Dispute remains unresolved • 25%