Loading...
Market
Over 200,000 people to be displaced due to Israeli-Hezbollah conflict by December 31, 2024?
2
Israeli•Benjamin Netanyahu•Hezbollah•Lebanon•Israeli Defense Ministry•Yoav Gallant•Netanyahu•Channel 13
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Reports from humanitarian organizations like the UN or Red Cross, and verified news reports
Story
Netanyahu Announces Major Military Operation Against Hezbollah in Southern Lebanon: Channel 13
Sep 14, 2024, 05:29 PM
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has announced plans for a significant military operation against Hezbollah in southern Lebanon. This decision follows increased cross-border fighting since October, prompting Hezbollah to order the evacuation of residents from southern Lebanon. The Israeli Defense Ministry, led by Yoav Gallant, is shifting focus to the northern front while completing missions in the south. Netanyahu's decision, expected to be formalized in a security cabinet meeting, aims to ensure the return of northern Israeli residents and prepare for a long campaign that could incur heavy costs. The operation, reported by Channel 13, is anticipated to begin soon, pending international support and sufficient munitions. Since the start of the fighting, over 100,000 people have been displaced.
View original story
Similar markets
Less than 100,000 • 25%
100,000 to 200,000 • 25%
200,000 to 300,000 • 25%
More than 300,000 • 25%
Less than 10,000 residents displaced • 25%
10,000 to 50,000 residents displaced • 25%
50,001 to 100,000 residents displaced • 25%
More than 100,000 residents displaced • 25%
0-10 casualties • 25%
11-50 casualties • 25%
51-100 casualties • 25%
More than 100 casualties • 25%
Tyre • 25%
Beirut • 25%
Haifa • 25%
Other • 25%
Less than 50 • 25%
50-100 • 25%
101-200 • 25%
More than 200 • 25%
0-50 • 25%
51-100 • 25%
101-200 • 25%
200+ • 25%
Less than 100 • 25%
100 to 499 • 25%
500 to 999 • 25%
1000 or more • 25%
Beirut • 25%
Tyre • 25%
Sidon • 25%
Other • 25%
No significant impact • 33%
Moderate impact (limited casualties and damage) • 33%
Severe impact (high casualties and widespread damage) • 33%
Less than 100 • 25%
100-500 • 25%
501-1000 • 25%
More than 1000 • 25%
0 • 25%
1-10 • 25%
11-50 • 25%
More than 50 • 25%