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Outcome of Venezuelan opposition's electoral fraud claims by end of 2025?
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Colombian•Álvaro Uribe•Venezuela•Nicolás Maduro•Uribe•Cúcuta•United Nations•Maduro•Cuba•Nicaragua•International Antifascist World Festival•Edmundo González Urrutia
Resolution / Starting Odds
Fraud confirmed and new elections held • 25%
Fraud confirmed but no new elections • 25%
Fraud not confirmed • 25%
Other • 25%
Reports from international news agencies, Venezuelan government announcements, or legal rulings
Story
Uribe Demands UN-Endorsed Intervention in Venezuela from Cúcuta; Maduro Prepares for Armed Defense
Jan 12, 2025, 01:06 AM
Former Colombian President Álvaro Uribe has called for an international military intervention in Venezuela to oust President Nicolás Maduro, whom he referred to as a dictator. Uribe made this demand from the border city of Cúcuta, advocating for an intervention preferably endorsed by the United Nations to remove Maduro from power and hold free elections. In response, Maduro has warned that Venezuela, alongside Cuba and Nicaragua, is preparing to take up arms if necessary to defend its sovereignty and peace. Maduro's statements came during the closure of the International Antifascist World Festival, where he also called for a global alliance against fascism. This follows Maduro's controversial inauguration for a third term on January 10, 2025, which has been contested by the opposition claiming electoral fraud and asserting that Edmundo González Urrutia won the election.
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Other resolution • 25%
No independent audit conducted • 25%
Fraud disproven by independent audit • 25%
Fraud confirmed by independent audit • 25%
Opposition's claim upheld • 25%
Opposition's claim rejected • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No decision reached • 25%
González confirmed as President • 25%
Maduro confirmed as President • 25%
Status quo remains • 25%
New elections announced • 25%
Less than 50% • 25%
More than 70% • 25%
61% - 70% • 25%
50% - 60% • 25%
Edmundo González returns and is sworn in • 25%
Opposition calls for new elections • 25%
Opposition forms government-in-exile • 25%
Status quo remains • 25%
Nicolás Maduro remains president • 25%
Power-sharing agreement • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Edmundo González becomes president • 25%
New elections announced • 25%
Maduro remains in power • 25%
González Urrutia recognized as president • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Inauguration proceeds as planned • 25%
Inauguration postponed • 25%
Inauguration canceled • 25%
Other • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Protests lead to policy changes • 25%
Protests result in significant international sanctions • 25%
Protests are suppressed without major outcomes • 25%
Maduro remains President • 25%
González Urrutia recognized as President • 25%
New elections called • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
New elections held • 25%
Maduro remains in power • 25%
Power-sharing agreement • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Other • 25%
New elections announced • 25%
Opposition gains significant political concessions • 25%
Maduro remains in power • 25%