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Outcome of US-Russia negotiations on Ukraine by end of 2025?
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Kremlin•Russian•Vladimir Putin•Donald Trump•United States•Dmitry Peskov•Russia•Washington•Peskov•Putin•Ukrainian•Trump
Resolution / Starting Odds
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Peace treaty • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Official agreements or public announcements from US and Russian governments, reports from international bodies
Story
Kremlin: Putin Won't Congratulate Trump, Cites 'Unfriendly' U.S. and Historic Low Relations
Nov 6, 2024, 11:17 AM
The Kremlin announced that Russian President Vladimir Putin has no plans to congratulate Donald Trump on his election victory, citing strained relations with the United States. Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov described the U.S. as an "unfriendly country involved in a war against Russia" and noted that relations with Washington are at a historic low. Peskov stated that while Putin is open to dialogue, it is impossible to end the Ukrainian conflict overnight, and Trump's statements about peace after victory "may take on a different tone." He added, "We will draw conclusions based on concrete steps and concrete words."
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No significant change • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
De-escalation agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
Peace Agreement • 33%
Ceasefire • 33%
No Agreement • 33%
Successful peace agreement • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
Military escalation • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Partial agreement with conditions • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Formal diplomatic talks initiated • 25%
Full peace agreement reached • 25%
Partial agreement, no territorial changes • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Formal Agreement • 25%
Informal Understanding • 25%
No Agreement • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Bilateral negotiations only • 25%
Multilateral talks including NATO • 25%
No negotiations • 25%
Negotiations stalled • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Partial agreement • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Full peace treaty • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Partial agreement on certain issues • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Negotiations postponed indefinitely • 25%
Ceasefire with territorial concessions by Ukraine • 25%
Ceasefire without territorial concessions • 25%
No ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%