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Outcome of U.S.-Israel diplomatic talks on Iranian sites by end of 2024
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Continued assurance with no incidents • 25%
Israel retracts assurance • 25%
U.S. imposes diplomatic pressure • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Reports from credible news organizations or official statements from the U.S. or Israeli governments
Story
Israel Assures U.S. It Won't Strike Iranian Nuclear or Oil Sites, Officials Say
Oct 15, 2024, 04:21 PM
Israel has provided assurances to the Biden administration that it will not conduct strikes on Iranian nuclear and oil facilities, according to U.S. officials. This statement comes amidst heightened tensions in the region and reflects ongoing diplomatic communications between the two nations. The assurances were reported by multiple sources, including the Wall Street Journal and the Associated Press, emphasizing Israel's commitment to avoiding direct attacks on these critical sites.
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Joint military action • 25%
Increased sanctions on Iran • 25%
Continued diplomatic negotiations • 25%
No significant outcome • 25%
Increased Military Cooperation • 25%
New Sanctions on Iran • 25%
Diplomatic Engagement with Iran • 25%
No Significant Change • 25%
Peace agreement • 25%
Ceasefire • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Escalation • 25%
Peace agreement • 25%
Ceasefire • 25%
Continued tensions • 25%
Increased conflict • 25%
Israel refrains from striking • 25%
Israel conducts limited strikes • 25%
Israel conducts full-scale strikes • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Successful international sanctions on Iran • 25%
Increased military tensions with Iran • 25%
New peace negotiations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Increased sanctions on Iran • 25%
Increased military aid to Israel • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Successful de-escalation • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Increased sanctions on Iran • 25%
No significant outcome • 25%
Other • 25%
Iran is progressing towards weaponization • 33%
Iran's activities are benign • 33%
No conclusive outcome • 33%
Successful Peace Agreement • 25%
Stalemate/No Agreement • 25%
Escalation of Tensions • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Talks break down • 25%
Agreement reached • 25%
Talks postponed • 25%
Other • 25%