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Outcome of Ukraine's call for recognition of Russia's Geneva Conventions violation by June 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Formal recognition by the UN • 25%
Formal recognition by the EU • 25%
Formal recognition by both UN and EU • 25%
No formal recognition • 25%
Official statements or resolutions from international organizations
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Russian Forces Attack ICRC Vehicles in Donetsk on Sept. 12, Killing 3
Sep 12, 2024, 12:26 PM
On Sept. 12, Russian forces shelled the village of Virolyubivka in Ukraine's Donetsk region, targeting vehicles of the International Committee of the Red Cross (ICRC). The attack resulted in the deaths of three Ukrainian citizens, who were employees of the ICRC, and injured two others. The humanitarian aid truck they were in was destroyed. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky condemned the attack, calling it a war crime and urging international organizations to recognize Russia's violation of the Geneva Conventions. The attack occurred just 14 km from the combat zone.
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Recognizes Zelenskiy • 25%
Recognizes Ukrainian parliament • 25%
Recognizes other authority • 25%
No change • 25%
Condemnation of Ukraine • 25%
Call for independent investigation • 25%
Support for Ukraine • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Sanctions imposed on Russia • 25%
International investigation initiated • 25%
Increased military aid to Ukraine • 25%
No significant outcome • 25%
Condemnation and sanctions • 25%
Condemnation only • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Other response • 25%
Increased military aid • 25%
Increased economic aid • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other measures • 25%
Condemnation statement • 25%
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No official response • 25%
Investigation launch • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Sanctions imposed on Russia • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Other actions • 25%
UNSC sanctions Ukraine • 25%
UNSC dismisses the complaint • 25%
UNSC calls for further investigation • 25%
No action taken by UNSC • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Sanctions on Russian officials • 25%
International tribunal or investigation • 25%
Condemnation without action • 25%
Other • 25%
Investigation approved • 25%
Investigation denied • 25%
Investigation deferred • 25%
No response by deadline • 25%