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Outcome of UK-Brazil deportation controversy by December 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
UK admits involuntary deportations • 25%
Itamaraty confirms voluntary returns • 25%
No official resolution • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Reports from international media and official statements from UK and Brazilian governments
Story
UK Deports Over 600 Brazilians in Secret Flights, Itamaraty Denies Deportations
Dec 1, 2024, 06:34 PM
The UK government has reportedly deported over 600 Brazilians, including 109 children, in what has been described as 'secret flights' between August and September this year, according to the British newspaper The Guardian. The Brazilian Foreign Ministry (Itamaraty) has denied these claims, stating that the returns were voluntary. The UK government classified these flights as 'voluntary' and offered incentives of up to £3,000 (approximately R$ 22,813) to encourage voluntary return. The deportations have sparked controversy and concern over the treatment of Brazilian immigrants in the UK.
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Similar markets
UK wins all challenges • 25%
UK loses all challenges • 25%
Mixed outcomes • 25%
Settlements reached • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Diplomatic protest • 25%
Legal action • 25%
No official response • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Operation proceeds as planned • 25%
Operation delayed • 25%
Operation scaled down • 25%
Operation halted • 25%
Less than 100 • 25%
100 to 299 • 25%
300 to 499 • 25%
500 or more • 25%
Deportation • 25%
Detention • 25%
Released • 25%
No action • 25%
Extradited to Italy • 33%
Extradition denied • 33%
Extradition process ongoing • 34%