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Market
Will the UK Home Office deport the Ugandan national by end of 2024?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statement from the UK Home Office or relevant legal documentation
Story
Ugandan Killer Avoids Deportation Due to ECHR Article 3 Mental Health Ruling
Sep 21, 2024, 05:34 AM
A Ugandan national who was sentenced to life in prison for murdering Eugen Breahna in the back of a London ambulance will not be deported from the UK. The decision was made by a court to protect his mental health, citing that deportation would be inhumane and breach his human rights under the European Convention on Human Rights (ECHR), specifically Article 3. The ruling has sparked significant criticism and calls for the UK to leave the ECHR, with some arguing that the 1998 Human Rights Act, which gives the ECHR legal force, protects the wrong people. The Home Office had attempted to deport the individual.
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Deported to Uganda • 25%
Granted asylum in Zimbabwe • 25%
Deported to a third country • 25%
Remains in Zimbabwe • 25%
Uganda • 25%
South Africa • 25%
Kenya • 25%
Other • 25%
UK admits involuntary deportations • 25%
Itamaraty confirms voluntary returns • 25%
No official resolution • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Deported • 25%
Allowed to stay • 25%
Appeal in process • 25%
Granted asylum in a third country • 25%
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No • 50%
Widespread support • 25%
Widespread opposition • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Minimal reaction • 25%