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Outcome of Trump-Xi meeting on Ukraine war by March 31, 2025
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
China agrees to mediate • 25%
China supports ceasefire • 25%
No significant progress • 25%
Meeting does not occur • 25%
Official statements from the White House or Chinese government, major news outlets
Story
President-elect Trump Plans Meetings with Putin and Xi to End Ukraine War
Jan 10, 2025, 01:22 AM
President-elect Donald Trump announced that he is arranging meetings with Russian President Vladimir Putin and Chinese President Xi Jinping to discuss ending the war. Trump stated that Putin wants to meet and that they are setting it up. He also mentioned ongoing communications with Xi and plans for future meetings aimed at ending the Ukraine war.
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Meeting occurs but escalates conflict • 25%
Meeting occurs and results in peace agreement • 25%
Meeting occurs without peace agreement • 25%
Meeting does not occur • 25%
Other diplomatic outcome • 25%
Continued negotiations • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Meeting canceled • 25%
Agreement reached • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Meeting postponed • 25%
Rejected • 25%
No response • 25%
Accepted • 25%
Modified and accepted • 25%
Agreement on ceasefire • 25%
No significant outcome • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Agreement on increased military aid • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Successful peace agreement • 25%
Agreement to continue negotiations • 25%
Meeting does not occur • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Meeting does not occur • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Agreement reached • 25%
Meeting postponed or canceled • 25%
No agreement, continued negotiations • 25%
No agreement, talks break down • 25%
Commitment to peace negotiations • 25%
Reduction in military aid • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased U.S. support for Ukraine • 25%