Loading...
Market
Outcome of Steve Witkoff's Doha trip by January 20, 2025
2
Donald Trump•Hamas•Trump•Israel•Middle East•Steve Witkoff•Doha•Gaza•Witkoff•Biden•Brett McGurk•Amos Hochstein•McGurk
Resolution / Starting Odds
Hostages released • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Both hostages released and ceasefire • 25%
No progress • 25%
Official statements from U.S. government, Steve Witkoff, or international news agencies
Story
Trump Warns Hamas: Release Hostages by Jan 20 or 'There Will Be Hell'; Envoy Witkoff Heads to Doha
Jan 7, 2025, 05:13 PM
President-elect Donald Trump has issued a stern warning to Hamas, stating that if hostages held by the group are not released by his inauguration on January 20, 'there will be hell.' He emphasized, 'There will be no "DON'T"; there will be hell. The hostages need to be released now.' Trump declared himself 'the best friend Israel has ever had' and urged for the immediate release of the hostages. In addition, Trump's Middle East envoy, Steve Witkoff, announced plans to travel to Doha 'today or tomorrow' to join negotiations on a hostage deal and a Gaza ceasefire. Witkoff expressed optimism about the progress being made, stating, 'I think we're making a lot of progress,' and hopes to have positive developments to announce by the inauguration. Meanwhile, President Biden has sent his top Middle East advisors, Brett McGurk and Amos Hochstein, to the region, with McGurk in Doha working on a Gaza ceasefire and hostage deal.
View original story
Similar markets
Both ceasefire and hostages released • 25%
Neither achieved • 25%
Ceasefire achieved • 25%
Hostages released • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Ceasefire and hostage release agreed • 25%
Only hostage release agreed • 25%
Only ceasefire agreed • 25%
Significant positive impact • 25%
Negative impact • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Moderate positive impact • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Both ceasefire and hostage release agreements reached • 25%
Hostage release agreement reached • 25%
Successful agreement reached • 25%
No mission conducted • 25%
Mission aborted • 25%
Talks initiated but no agreement • 25%
Hostage deal agreed • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Both hostage deal and ceasefire agreed • 25%
Ceasefire agreed • 25%
Negotiations collapse • 25%
Partial release of hostages • 25%
Successful release of all hostages • 25%
No release of hostages • 25%
No hostages released • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Some hostages released • 25%
All hostages released • 25%
Hostage release only • 25%
Both ceasefire and hostage release • 25%
Ceasefire only • 25%
Neither • 25%
Other factors • 25%
Internal political dynamics • 25%
Diplomatic strategy • 25%
International pressure • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Ceasefire modification • 25%
Ceasefire breakdown • 25%
Ceasefire extension • 25%