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Market
Will a new agreement on Russian military bases in Syria be reached by March 31, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from Russian or Syrian authorities, or credible news reports
Story
Kremlin: No Final Decision on Tartus and Khmeimim Bases in Syria Post-Assad
Dec 16, 2024, 09:33 AM
The Kremlin has announced that no final decisions have been made regarding the future of Russian military bases in Syria, specifically the Tartus Naval Base and Khmeimim Air Base. Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov stated that Russia is currently in dialogue with the forces controlling the situation in Syria following the unexpected downfall of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad, and the future of the bases will be determined through this process.
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Russia retains both bases • 25%
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Russia loses both bases • 25%
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No • 50%
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Permanent presence • 25%
Temporary presence • 25%
Complete withdrawal • 25%
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