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Outcome of Russia-Ukraine aerial confrontations by June 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased drone attacks • 25%
Decreased drone attacks • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Official announcements from Russian and Ukrainian governments, international news agencies
Story
Russia Claims Destruction of 68 Ukrainian Drones, Including 25 Over Bryansk, on December 31
Dec 31, 2024, 05:03 AM
On the night of December 31, 2024, Russian air defense systems reportedly destroyed 68 Ukrainian drones across eight regions of Russia, according to the Russian Ministry of Defense. The most significant number of drones, totaling 25, were shot down over Bryansk Oblast, as stated by the regional governor Alexander Bogomaz. The attacks were part of ongoing military operations, with the Ministry confirming that there were no casualties or damage reported in the affected areas. This incident highlights the continued aerial confrontations between Russian and Ukrainian forces amid the ongoing conflict.
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Increased military conflict • 25%
Peace negotiations initiated • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Civilian casualties • 25%
Minimal damage • 25%
Significant damage to infrastructure • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Ukrainian Victory • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Russian Victory • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Russian victory • 25%
No engagement • 25%
Ukrainian victory • 25%
Peace agreement signed • 25%
Russia gains territorial advantage • 25%
Conflict continues with no resolution • 25%
Ukraine gains territorial advantage • 25%
Russia escalates military actions • 25%
Peace negotiations commence • 25%
Russia maintains current level of engagement • 25%
Russia deescalates military actions • 25%
Escalation of tensions • 25%
Formal agreement reached • 25%
Talks initiated, but no agreement • 25%
No talks initiated • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Other • 25%
Peace treaty signed • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Other • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Peace agreement without security guarantees • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Peace agreement with security guarantees • 25%
Informal Understanding • 25%
Formal Agreement • 25%
No Agreement • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%